Conf = B1G
Nickname = MI Wolverines Coach = Kevin ConrGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.6500168 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Virginia ACC (12- 6, 96.9) 11-19 213 H Canisius MAAC ( 5-10, 85.1) 21- 5 217 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 4- 9, 88.6) 18- 8 224 N Marquette Big East ( 4-10, 89.1) 20-12 227 A Jacksonville ASUN (13- 5, 90.6) 13-10 302 A Delaware CAA ( 9- 5, 93.0) 13- 8 310 H Harvard Ivy ( 8- 5, 93.0) 11-13 316 A Notre Dame ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 9-19 323 H Maryland B1G (11- 6, 96.3) 12-11 330 A Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 11-15 407 H Rutgers B1G ( 7- 7, 91.9) 7- 9 413 A Penn State B1G (11- 5, 96.5) 8-14 420 A Ohio State B1G ( 6- 9, 93.5) 13-12 427 H Ohio State B1G ( 6- 9, 93.5) 15- 9 502 N Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 10- 7 504 N Penn State B1G (11- 5, 96.5) 16- 4 511 A Denver Big East (13- 4, 95.7) 11-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Virginia 11-19 -8 -2 -- -4.10 213 H Canisius 21- 5 16 10 0.00 217 H Hobart 18- 8 10 6 0.23 224 N Marquette 20-12 8 5 1.41 227 A Jacksonville 13-10 3 3 -0.33 302 A Delaware 13- 8 5 1 + 3.99 310 H Harvard 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.38 316 A Notre Dame 9-19 -10 -5 -1.06 323 H Maryland 12-11 1 0 1.95 330 A Johns Hopkins 11-15 -4 -2 -1.64 407 H Rutgers 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.46 413 A Penn State 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.47 420 A Ohio State 13-12 1 0 0.51 427 H Ohio State 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.12 502 N Johns Hopkins 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.66 504 N Penn State 16- 4 12 -1 +++ 8.84 511 A Denver 11-18 -7 -1 -- -5.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Virginia 11-19 -8 -2 -- -4.10 310 H Harvard 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.38 407 H Rutgers 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.46 511 A Denver 11-18 -7 -1 -- -5.28 413 A Penn State 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 N Penn State 16- 4 12 -1 +++ 8.84 427 H Ohio State 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.12 502 N Johns Hopkins 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.66 302 A Delaware 13- 8 5 1 + 3.99
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.66 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.17 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 9 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6674 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .5925 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 1.5 Championship Rank ......... 17 Selection sum ........... 38 Selection Rank ............ 12 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 25. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 12 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 15 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 16.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7